The COVID-19 Forecast Hub
This site maintains the authoritative, up-to-date record for forecasts of COVID-19 deaths and hospitalizations in the US, created by dozens of leading infectious disease modeling teams from around the globe.
Every Monday dozens of modeling teams from across the globe submit forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 outbreak in the US to our forecast data repository. We take these data and build a single ensemble forecast.
Public health impact
We work collaboratively in an open-science framework, welcoming participation from modeling teams around the globe to submit predictions from their best COVID-19 models.
In the news
Early projections of covid-19 in America underestimated its severity.
The Economist | 23 May 2020
What computer-based models can tell us about coronavirus-and what they can’t
PBS NewsHour | 20 May 2020
How To Make Sense of All The COVID-19 Projections? A New Model Combines Them
NPR Morning Edition | 13 May 2020
Scientists Crunch Data to Predict How Many People Will Get Coronavirus
The Wall Street Journal | 17 March 2020
Coronavirus hot spots erupt across the country; experts warn of second wave in South
Washington Post | May 20, 2020
Where The Latest COVID-19 Models Think We’re Headed ? And Why They Disagree
FiveThirtyEight | 1 May 2020