The COVID-19 Forecast Hub

This site maintains the authoritative record for real-time forecasts of COVID-19 hospitalizations in the US, as well as archival forecasts for COVID-19 cases and deaths, created by dozens of leading infectious disease modeling teams from around the globe, in coordination with the US CDC.

Up-to-date forecasts

Every week dozens of modeling teams from across the globe submit forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US to our forecast data repository. In collaboration with the US CDC, we take these data and build a single ensemble forecast which is later analyzed by, and communicated to the general public by CDC.

Public health impact

COVID-19 Forecast Hub data are used by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the data journalism site FiveThirtyEight. Through these channels, and our public data repository, our work serves as a vital source of public information about where the outbreak is headed.

Collaborative science

We work collaboratively in an open-science framework, welcoming participation from modeling teams around the globe to submit predictions from their best COVID-19 models.