The COVID-19 Forecast Hub
This site maintains the authoritative, up-to-date record for forecasts of COVID-19 deaths and hospitalizations in the US, created by dozens of leading infectious disease modeling teams from around the globe, in coordination with CDC.
Every Monday dozens of modeling teams from across the globe submit forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 outbreak in the US to our forecast data repository. We take these data and build a single ensemble forecast.
Public health impact
We are hiring!
We have an open position for a post-doctoral researcher to join our team to work on applied and methodological research on forecasting and ensemble modeling. Strong quantitative background and formal training in statistics, machine learning, data science, computational epidemiology, or a closely related field is required.
In the news
Early projections of covid-19 in America underestimated its severity.
The Economist | 23 May 2020
What computer-based models can tell us about coronavirus-and what they can’t
PBS NewsHour | 20 May 2020
How To Make Sense of All The COVID-19 Projections? A New Model Combines Them
NPR Morning Edition | 13 May 2020
Scientists Crunch Data to Predict How Many People Will Get Coronavirus
The Wall Street Journal | 17 March 2020
Coronavirus threat rises across U.S.: ‘We just have to assume the monster is everywhere’
Washington Post | 1 August 2020
Where The Latest COVID-19 Models Think We’re Headed ? And Why They Disagree
FiveThirtyEight | 1 May 2020