The COVID-19 Forecast Hub

This site maintains the authoritative, up-to-date record for forecasts of COVID-19 deaths and hospitalizations in the US, created by dozens of leading infectious disease modeling teams from around the globe.

Up-to-date forecasts

Every Monday dozens of modeling teams from across the globe submit forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 outbreak in the US to our forecast data repository. We take these data and build a single ensemble forecast.

Public health impact

COVID-19 Forecast Hub data are used by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the data journalism site FiveThirtyEight. Through these channels, and our public data repository, our work serves as a vital source of public information about where the outbreak is headed next.

Collaborative science

We work collaboratively in an open-science framework, welcoming participation from modeling teams around the globe to submit predictions from their best COVID-19 models.