The COVID-19 Forecast Hub
This site maintains the authoritative, up-to-date record for forecasts of COVID-19 cases, deaths and hospitalizations in the US, created by dozens of leading infectious disease modeling teams from around the globe, in coordination with the US CDC.
Every week dozens of modeling teams from across the globe submit forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US to our forecast data repository. In collaboration with the US CDC, we take these data and build a single ensemble forecast which is later analyzed by, and communicated to the general public by CDC.
Public health impact
We work collaboratively in an open-science framework, welcoming participation from modeling teams around the globe to submit predictions from their best COVID-19 models.
In the news
‘Lurching Between Crisis and Complacency’: Was This Our Last Covid Surge?
New York Times | 14 October 2021
Are COVID-19’s big waves over? Experts are split
The Hill | 9 October 2021
Facing backlog of positive tests, Maine CDC reports highest single-day case increase of pandemic
Portland Press Herald | 30 September 2021
When Will Delta Variant Peak? Winter Uncertain As COVID Cases Drop in U.S.
Newsweek | 27 September 2021
U.S. covid death toll hits 1,500 a day amid delta scourge
Washington Post | 3 September 2021
COVID-19 hospitalizations could hit 32,000 a day, CDC forecast says
Q 13 Fox Seattle | 18 August 2021