The COVID-19 Forecast Hub
This site maintains the authoritative, up-to-date record for forecasts of COVID-19 cases, deaths and hospitalizations in the US, created by dozens of leading infectious disease modeling teams from around the globe, in coordination with the US CDC.
Every week dozens of modeling teams from across the globe submit forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US to our forecast data repository. In collaboration with the US CDC, we take these data and build a single ensemble forecast which is later analyzed by, and communicated to the general public by CDC.
Public health impact
We work collaboratively in an open-science framework, welcoming participation from modeling teams around the globe to submit predictions from their best COVID-19 models.
In the news
For now, wary US treads water with transformed COVID-19
AP | 3 July 2022
CDC Says COVID Hospitalizations to Rise in Most States
WebMD | 19 May 2022
New White House Covid projection puzzles experts and catches some Biden officials off guard
CNN | 12 May 2022
A devastating milestone looms: 1 million US deaths from COVID-19
Boston Globe | 28 April 2022
UMass lab cited for precision forecasting COVID-19 deaths
Daily Hampshire Gazette | 18 April 2022
Collaborative modeling attempts could improve response to the COVID-19 pandemic
News Medical | 8 April 2022